Full Article

February 26, 2020

Nebraska Indicator: Little Change in Leading Indicator in the New Year

Nebraska Indicator: Little Change in Leading Indicator in the New Year
Nebraska’s leading economic indicator fell slightly during January 2020, according to the most recent report from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.

The leading indicator, a composite of economic factors that predict economic growth six months into the future, fell by 0.15%.

“The January decline followed a sharp increase during December 2019,” said economist Eric Thompson, director of the Bureau of Business Research at the university. “Taken together, the two monthly results suggest moderate growth in the Nebraska economy through mid-2020. The leading indicator fell due to a drop in airline passenger enplanements and an increase in initial claims for unemployment insurance.” 

At the same time, Nebraska businesses maintained a positive outlook, with respondents to the January Survey of Nebraska Business reporting plans to increase sales and employment over the next six months.

Building permits for single-family homes changed little on a seasonally-adjusted basis.

The leading economic indicator report is produced monthly by faculty and students in the Bureau of Business Research in Nebraska’s College of Business.