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Nebraska Indicator: Economic Data Lags Business Expectations

Economic growth will slow in Nebraska in late 2017, according to the most recent leading economic indicator report from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
The indicator, a composite of economic factors that predict economic growth six months into the future, fell by 0.51 percent in May after rising rapidly in January, February and March.
June 2017 Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska
June 2017 Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska
“The decline, when coupled with an April drop in the LEI-N, implies that the Nebraska economy will lose economic momentum during the 4th quarter of 2017,” said economist Eric Thompson, director of the Bureau of Business Research at the university.
Four component of the indicator worsened during May. Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose during the May, indicating a softening of the labor market. There also was a decline in manufacturing hours, passenger enplanements and building permits for single-family homes.
“Economic data for manufacturing, construction and other key sectors of the Nebraska economy do not match the optimism of Nebraska businesses,” said Thompson. Respondents to the May Survey of Nebraska Business were very optimistic about increasing sales and employment over the next six months.
The leading economic indicator report is produced monthly by faculty and students in the Bureau of Business Research in Nebraska’s College of Business.
Published: June 21, 2017